Super Bowl Prediction

Unless you happen to live in a cave in Borneo, you are well aware that the Super Bowl is about to happen. If you DO live in a cave in Borneo, you will miss all the Super bowl hype. (Hmmm.... Any extra room in your cave for a few days?)

Anyhow, everybody and his dog are making predictions on the game, and are going into detail on exactly why the game will go as they are predicting.

Since I haven't followed the teams all season I am uniquely qualified to make a prediction on the game.

If you have any knowledge of statistics, however, you realize that the biggest weakness of statistics is trying to predict the outcome of a single event.

If Seattle and Pittsburgh played the game one hundred times, a good statistical analysis of the stats would give you a fair idea of what percentage of the games would be won by each team.

It's like flipping a coin. If you flip the coin one hundred times, statistically, roughly half would come up heads. The more total times you flip the coin, the closer it will come to being exactly 50-50.

If you only flip it once, you really cannot make a prediction based on statistics, other than it will be either heads or tails.

This all assumes that the coin is balanced so there is no physical reason for one side to come up rather that the other. If there is something asymetrical about the coin that makes it favor one side or the other, then with multiple flips, it will show something other than 50-50. Unless the coin is so heavily modified that it absolutely cannot land on one side, both sides will land sometimes, but one more than the other.

With Seattle and Pittsburgh, both have the skills to win the game. A hasty review on my part reveals that both teams can throw passes, kick field goals, and run for TD's. In short, either team has the ability to win. (DUH!)

(OK, OK, so get to the point!) I am predicting that it will be a relatively conservative, low scoring game, with both teams trying hard not to make major mistakes and beat themselves. The winning team will be the one whose coach has designed the best game plan. The teams themselves are roughly equal.

The game will be won in the last part of the 4th. quarter, or in overtime. It will be a close, but relatively boring game. It will depend on which coach does the better job, and I'll go with Holmgren and the Seahawks, final score 20 to 17.

Feel free to leave your prediction in the comments below!